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The effect of climate change on the population of sycamore lace bug (Corythuca ciliata, Say) based on a simulation model with phenological response

Hufnagel, Levente and Ladányi, Márta (2006) The effect of climate change on the population of sycamore lace bug (Corythuca ciliata, Say) based on a simulation model with phenological response. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 4 (2). pp. 85-112.

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Official URL: http://www.ecology.kee.hu/


Abstract

Climate change affects on insect populations in many ways: it can cause a shift in geographical spread, abundance, or diversity, it can change the location, the timing and the magnitude of outbreaks of pests and it can define the phenological or even the genetic properties of the species. Long-time investigations of special insect populations, simulation models and scenario studies give us very important information about the response of the insects far away and near to our century. Getting to know the potential responses of insect populations to climate change makes us possible to evaluate the adaptation of pest management alternatives as well as to formulate our future management policy. In this paper we apply two simple models, in order to introduce a complex case study for a Sycamore lace bug population. We test how the model works in case the whether conditions are very different from those in our days. Thus, besides we can understand the processes that happen in present, we can analyze the effects of a possible climate change, as well.

Item Type:Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:climate change, insects, pest management, simulation, agriculture
Subjects:Meteorology
Mathematics, Econometrics
Agriculture
Projects:OTKA T042583, FKFP 0087/2002, KLIMAKKT project of NKFP “Jedlik Ányos” program, VAHAVA project of Hungarian Academy of Sciences
ID Code:1370
Deposited By: Ádám Hoffmann
Deposited On:08 Nov 2013 13:11
Last Modified:08 Nov 2013 13:11

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