Corvinus
Corvinus

Methods of modeling the future shift of the so called Moesz-line

Bede-Fazekas, Ákos (2012) Methods of modeling the future shift of the so called Moesz-line. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 10 (2). pp. 141-156.

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Official URL: http://www.ecology.kee.hu/pdf/1002_141156.pdf


Abstract

It is important to the landscape architects to become acquainted with the results of the regional climate models so they can adapt to the warmer and more arid future climate. Modelling the potential distribution area of certain plants, which was the theme of our former research, can be a convenient method to visualize the effects of the climate change. A similar but slightly better method is modelling the Moesz-line, which gives information on distribution and usability of numerous plants simultaneously. Our aim is to display the results on maps and compare the different modelling methods (Line modelling, Distribution modelling, Isotherm modelling). The results are spectacular and meet our expectations: according to two of the three tested methods the Moesz-line will shift from South Slovakia to Central Poland in the next 60 years.

Item Type:Article
Series Number / Identification Number:MTMT:1959859
Uncontrolled Keywords:Gusztáv Moesz, climate change, GIS, distributional range, climate shift
Subjects:Landscape planning, landscape protection, landscape design
Ecology
Projects:TÁMOP-4.2.1/B-09/1/KMR-2010-0005
ID Code:1424
Deposited By: MTMT SWORD
Deposited On:28 Jan 2014 13:52
Last Modified:28 Jan 2014 13:52

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