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South East Europe electricity roadmap – modelling energy transition in the electricity sectors

Szabó , László and Kelemen, Ágnes and Mezősi, András and Pató, Zsuzsanna and Kácsor, Enikő and Resch, Gustav and Liebmann, Lukas (2018) South East Europe electricity roadmap – modelling energy transition in the electricity sectors. Climate Policy . DOI https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1532390

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1532390

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Abstract

One of the most important challenges for the South East Europe region will be replacing more than 30% of its presently installed fossil fuel generation capacity by the end of 2030, and more than 95% by 2050 if its age structure is considered. This requires a strong policy framework to incentivise new investments in a region currently lacking investors, but also presents an opportunity to shape the electricity sector over the long term according to the broader energy transition strategy of the EU and the Energy Community. The aim of this paper is to assess what type of long-term pathways exist for electricity sector development in the region if they follow the energy transition process of the EU. In this model-based scenario assessment, long term electricity sector futures are explored using a set of interlinked electricity models evaluating the level of renewable energy investment required in the region to reach a deep decarbonization target, assuming emission reduction above 94% by 2050 compared to 1990 in line with the long term market integration and climate policy goals of the EU. It also explores what are the most important system wide impacts of the high deployment of renewable energy concerning generation adequacy and security of supply.

Item Type:Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:Climate targets, energy scenarios, energy models, transitions, south east Europe
Subjects:Energy economy
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1532390
ID Code:3740
Deposited By: Veronika Vitéz
Deposited On:30 Oct 2018 14:34
Last Modified:30 Oct 2018 14:34

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