Csató, László 
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8705-5036
(2022)
Group draw with unknown qualified teams: A lesson from the 2022 FIFA World Cup draw.
International Journal of Sports Science and Coaching
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DOI https://doi.org/10.1177/17479541221108799
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1177/17479541221108799
Abstract
The draw for the 2022 FIFA World Cup has been organised before the identity of three winners of the play-offs is revealed. Seeding has been based on the FIFA World Ranking released on 31 March 2022 but these three teams have been drawn from the weakest Pot 4. We show that the official seeding policy does not balance the difficulty levels of the groups to the extent possible: a better alternative would have been to assign the placeholders according to the highest-ranked potential winner, similar to the rule used in the UEFA Champions League qualification. Our simulations reinforce that this is the best strategy in general to create balanced groups in the FIFA World Cup.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | draw procedure; fairness; FIFA World Cup; OR in sports; simulation |
| JEL classification: | C44 - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory C63 - Computational Techniques; Simulation Modeling Z20 - Sports Economics: General |
| Divisions: | Institute of Operations and Decision Sciences |
| Subjects: | Culture, sport |
| Funders: | MTA Premium Postdoctoral Research Program |
| Projects: | PPD2019-9/2019 |
| DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1177/17479541221108799 |
| ID Code: | 7646 |
| Deposited By: | Ádám Hoffmann |
| Deposited On: | 27 Sep 2022 12:14 |
| Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2022 12:14 |
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