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Corvinus

Stock market decision-making in the light of prospect theory

Lakatos, Artur Lóránd and Botos, Ákos (2024) Stock market decision-making in the light of prospect theory. Public Finance Quarterly = Pénzügyi Szemle, 70 (2). pp. 63-89. DOI https://doi.org/10.35551/PFQ_2024_2_3

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.35551/PFQ_2024_2_3


Abstract

One of the main insights of prospect theory is that investment decisions are often irrational, following certain trends, and this is particularly true for individual investment decisions. The theory’s main proponents and its developers have described the phenomenon of risk seeking over losses and risk aversion over gains, mainly by looking at stock market trends. One of the hypotheses of our paper is that investors become risk averse in times of crisis. The other hypothesis is that the hummingbird effect can be detected in stock market trading. Using linear regression, we have been able to show that investors become more risk averse in times of crisis, which can also be seen in stock market trading, through the shift in the index. In addition, we have also been able to show that the hummingbird effect can also be detected in stock market trading.

Item Type:Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:stock market indices, butterfly-effect, financial crisis, correlation and regression, prospect theory, crisis theory
JEL classification:D53 - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium: Financial Markets
D81 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty: Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
G11 - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
G14 - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
Subjects:Finance
DOI:https://doi.org/10.35551/PFQ_2024_2_3
ID Code:10186
Deposited By: Alexa Horváth
Deposited On:15 Jul 2024 07:09
Last Modified:15 Jul 2024 07:09

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