Dependency and diversity – Electricity transition and security in the Visegrad Group countries (V4)

Abstract

Acceleration of the green transition is one of the prime overarching goals of the European Union, in which a specific role is allocated to renewable-based power generation. This paper examines the impact of energy transition plans on the long-term electricity security levels of the Visegrad Countries (V4). The analysis includes a calculation of Simplified Supply-Demand Index (SSDI) scores based on the official forecast of the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E). Results indicate that the level of electricity security is expected to diminish in the V4 countries. Simulation-based sensitivity analyses were also conducted to highlight that SSDI scores are especially sensitive to the vulnerability of supply, infrastructure, and demand categories within the composite index.